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DXY eyes key resistance at 99/99.40 after trendline rebound – Scotiabank

The Dollar Index is staging a recovery after defending its long-term uptrend near 96.40. A higher low at 97.10 and bullish MACD divergence point to fading downside momentum, with focus now shifting to key resistance near 99/99.40, Standard Chartered's economist report.

DXY bounce targets September 2024 lows

"The Dollar Index has rebounded after testing its multiyear ascending trend line at 96.40. It recently established a higher trough at 97.10 and moved above the 50-DMA. A positive divergence on the daily MACD indicates diminishing downward momentum."

"The index is approaching the June peak at 99/99.40, which may serve as interim hurdle. A break above this could trigger an extended rebound toward September 2024 low of 100.90 and 102. In the near term, the recent higher low at 97.10 serves as key support."

China: Fiscal room remains sizeable in H2 – Standard Chartered

Fiscal measures were front-loaded, contributing to higher-than-expected GDP growth in H1. If broad budget is fully implemented, fiscal impulse would be 1.2% of GDP in H2, reducing downside risk. Broad spending can maintain the H1 pace under prudent assumptions of tax and land sale revenues.
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GBP: Out-sized move in EUR/GBP – ING

We saw a huge move lower in EUR/GBP yesterday, ING’s FX analyst Chris Turner notes.
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